Lenny Bronner

• Elections

Everything you need to know about The Post’s polling averages, from the polls we include to how we handle polling error and uncertainty.

• Elections

The largest difference between our averages and others is that we only include the highest quality state and national polls.

• Elections

Five likely scenarios based on the candidates’ current standing in the polls and three less likely scenarios, including a tie in the electoral college.

• Department of Data

Rummaging through one of biggest, most valuable datasets not in government hands, we discovered some fascinating links between names and politics.

• Elections

Two possible explanations for why Harris’s poll numbers have begun to plateau and how we should think about the race ahead of Tuesday’s debate.

• Elections

Our modeling shows that Harris has two paths to possible success: the Rust Belt states of Michigan. Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and the Sun Belt states of Georgia, Arizona and Nevada (she could win in either region and still claim the White House). Meanwhile, Trump’s must win both the Rust Belt and Sun Belt to triumph.

• Podcast

Vice President Kamala Harris is polling well among voters in key battleground states, and her campaign is expanding its ground game in other key states that appeared to be out of reach for Democrats with President Joe Biden at the top of the ticket.

• Elections

Such an outcome is possible if she can eke out a victory in the tipping-point state.

• Department of Data
• Analysis

This week, we mine the U.S. Religious Census, a decennial count of America’s faithful, for insights into the geography of religious devotion. We also compare people’s claims on church attendance to their actual behavior.